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Next upDEMO· 9:42 AM CT

Chicago

vs

Minnesota

Sunday · 12:00 PM CT · Soldier Field · Outdoor
Spread
CHI -3.5
Opened -2.5
▲ 1 pts CHI
Moneyline
CHI -168
Opened -150
▲ 18
Total
44.5
Opened 46
▼ 1.5 pts

Best available price across tracked sources · DEMO dataset

Market moodBULLISH ▲

Chicago has moved from -2.5 to -3.5 while the moneyline shortened across 3 tracked books and both prediction markets price the Bears above sportsbook consensus.

Temp
47°F
Feels 39°
Wind
19 mph
Gusts 28
Precip
20%
Snow 0%

Total has moved 46 → 44.5 as forecast winds increased from 8 → 19 mph.

Market Pulse
9:42 AM CT▲Bears spread moves -3 → -3.5 at FanDuel9:31 AM CT▲Caleb passing total moves 252.5 → 255.59:14 AM CT▲Kalshi Bears win probability +3 pts8:57 AM CT◆Best Bears ML price changes to -168 at Novig8:40 AM CT▼Game total moves 45 → 44.5 at DraftKings8:12 AM CT▲Rome receiving line moves 57.5 → 59.59:42 AM CT▲Bears spread moves -3 → -3.5 at FanDuel9:31 AM CT▲Caleb passing total moves 252.5 → 255.59:14 AM CT▲Kalshi Bears win probability +3 pts8:57 AM CT◆Best Bears ML price changes to -168 at Novig8:40 AM CT▼Game total moves 45 → 44.5 at DraftKings8:12 AM CT▲Rome receiving line moves 57.5 → 59.5
Market consensus

Win probability

Public / Model — not connected
Bears
63%
Minnesota
37%

Sportsbook implied probability, vig removed across 3 tracked books

Signature module

Good. Bettor. Best.

An organizing mechanism, not a promise. BEST means the highest internal GBB Score under a transparent methodology — never a guarantee that a bet will win.

GOOD
GBB70
Why 70?
Trend Strength66
Market Support79
Matchup72
Price61
Confidence70

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

Game Total 44.5

-105 · DraftKings

One meaningful signal makes this market interesting.

  • Total has moved 46 → 44.5 as forecast winds increased from 8 → 19 mph
Sample: 10 graded results · DEMO data
BETTER
GBB81
Why 81?
Trend Strength90
Market Support80
Matchup78
Price72
Confidence80

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

Bears 1H Moneyline

-146 · Novig

Multiple independent indicators align.

  • Won 5 straight first halves
  • Sample: 9 games
Sample: 9 graded results · DEMO data
BEST
GBB87
Why 87?
Trend Strength92
Market Support88
Matchup81
Price84
Confidence89

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

Bears Spread -3.5

-108 · DraftKings

Highest GBB Score currently available.

  • 7-2 ATS in the selected sample
  • Market moved -2.5 → -3.5 across 3 tracked books
  • Best price still available at Novig
  • Opponent allows 4.9 yards per carry
Sample: 10 graded results · DEMO data
The Board

Complete Bears board · MIN

Every tracked market for the next game, with opening line, movement, hit rates and matchup context.

Team market

Bears Spread -3.5

GBB87
Why 87?
Trend Strength92
Market Support88
Matchup81
Price84
Confidence89

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

Best price
-108
DraftKings
Line
-3.5
Open -2.5
Move
▼ 1
Signal
BULLISH ▲
Season 7/10Last 5 4/5Last 10 7/10Home 5/6

Opponent 2-6 ATS as road favorite or small dog

14:42 UTC · DEMO
Team market

Bears Moneyline

GBB75
Why 75?
Trend Strength74
Market Support82
Matchup77
Price68
Confidence71

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

Best price
-168
Novig
Line
—
Open —
Move
no move
Signal
BULLISH ▲
Season 3/5Last 5 3/5Last 10 6/10Home 2/3

Opponent 1-3 on the road

14:42 UTC · DEMO
Team market

Game Total 44.5

GBB70
Why 70?
Trend Strength66
Market Support79
Matchup72
Price61
Confidence70

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

Best price
-105
DraftKings
Line
44.5
Open 46
Move
▼ 1.5
Signal
BEARISH ▼
Season 4/10Last 5 2/5Last 10 4/10Home 2/6

Opponent games average 41.8 combined points

14:42 UTC · DEMO
Caleb Williams · QB #18

250+ Passing Yards

GBB85
Why 85?
Trend Strength88
Market Support84
Matchup86
Price79
Confidence83

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

Best price
-115
FanDuel
Line
259.5
Open 247.5
Move
▲ 12
Signal
BULLISH ▲
Season 7/10Last 5 4/5Last 10 7/10Home 5/6

Opponent allows 267.4 pass YPG

14:42 UTC · DEMO
Rome Odunze · WR #15

60+ Receiving Yards

GBB74
Why 74?
Trend Strength79
Market Support71
Matchup80
Price70
Confidence68

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

Best price
-118
DraftKings
Line
59.5
Open 57.5
Move
▲ 2
Signal
BULLISH ▲
Season 6/10Last 5 4/5Last 10 6/10Home 4/6

Opponent allows 8.9 yards per target to outside WRs

14:42 UTC · DEMO
D'Andre Swift · RB #4

65+ Rushing Yards

GBB63
Why 63?
Trend Strength58
Market Support60
Matchup74
Price66
Confidence62

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

Best price
-106
FanDuel
Line
62.5
Open 63.5
Move
▼ 1
Signal
NEUTRAL ◆
Season 5/10Last 5 2/5Last 10 5/10Home 3/6

Opponent allows 4.9 YPC

14:42 UTC · DEMO
Bear Runs

Bears bets that keep hitting

Streaks always shown with sample size and start date, because a hot run is not a prediction.

Bear Run

Bears 1H Moneyline

Won 5 straight
Season
7-2
Last 10
7-3
Best price
-146 · Novig
Streak began
Aug 24, 2026
Sample: 9
Bear Run

Rome Odunze 50+ Receiving

Hit 6 of last 7
Season
6-4
Last 10
6-4
Best price
-112 · FanDuel
Streak began
Sep 1, 2026
Sample: 10
Bear Run

Bears Team Total Over

Hit 4 straight
Season
6-4
Last 10
6-4
Best price
-104 · FanDuel
Streak began
Sep 7, 2026
Sample: 10
Featured props

Player markets

Player imagery appears here when licensed photography is connected; until then these cards use a neutral placeholder.

Caleb Williams
QB #18

250+ Passing Yards

GBB85
Why 85?
Trend Strength88
Market Support84
Matchup86
Price79
Confidence83

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

259.5-115
FanDuel · open 247.5
▲ 12BULLISH ▲
Season 7/10 · L5 4/5 · Home 5/6

Opponent allows 267.4 pass YPG

Rome Odunze
WR #15

60+ Receiving Yards

GBB74
Why 74?
Trend Strength79
Market Support71
Matchup80
Price70
Confidence68

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

59.5-118
DraftKings · open 57.5
▲ 2BULLISH ▲
Season 6/10 · L5 4/5 · Home 4/6

Opponent allows 8.9 yards per target to outside WRs

D'Andre Swift
RB #4

65+ Rushing Yards

GBB63
Why 63?
Trend Strength58
Market Support60
Matchup74
Price66
Confidence62

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

62.5-106
FanDuel · open 63.5
▼ 1NEUTRAL ◆
Season 5/10 · L5 2/5 · Home 3/6

Opponent allows 4.9 YPC

Cole Kmet
TE #85

4+ Receptions

GBB65
Why 65?
Trend Strength64
Market Support66
Matchup75
Price55
Confidence66

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

3.5-134
FanDuel · open 3.5
no moveNEUTRAL ◆
Season 6/10 · L5 3/5 · Home 4/6

Opponent allows 6.1 receptions per game to TEs

Rome Odunze
WR #15

Anytime Touchdown

GBB47
Why 47?
Trend Strength36
Market Support48
Matchup45
Price62
Confidence50

The GBB Score measures the strength of the available data signals — not the probability that a wager will win.

—+160
DraftKings · open —
no moveBEARISH ▼
Season 2/10 · L5 0/5 · Home 1/6

Opponent has allowed 4 WR touchdowns all season

Windy City Movers

Biggest Bears market changes

Caleb Pass Yds
247.5 → 259.5 · since open
▲ 12 yds
tap for timestamped history
Bears Spread
-2.5 → -3.5 · since open
▼ 1 pts
tap for timestamped history
Game Total
47.5 → 44.5 · last 24H
▼ 3 pts
tap for timestamped history
Rome Rec Yds
57.5 → 59.5 · last 6H
▲ 2 yds
tap for timestamped history
Bears Team Total
22.5 → 23.5 · last 24H
▲ 1 pts
tap for timestamped history
Swift Rush Yds
63.5 → 62.5 · last 1H
▼ 1 yds
tap for timestamped history
Sharp Claws

Market disagreement scanner

Sportsbook prices are converted to implied probability and de-vigged before comparison. A gap is a disagreement between sources — it does not by itself create an arbitrage or a profitable opportunity.

Bears Win

Kalshi
63%
Polymarket
59%
Sportsbook consensus
55%
Market gap8 pts

Under 44.5

Kalshi
58%
Polymarket
56%
Sportsbook consensus
52%
Market gap6 pts

Bears Cover -3.5

Kalshi
54%
Polymarket
49%
Sportsbook consensus
50%
Market gap5 pts
Where the market stands

Tracked Sources

Prices normalized to American odds. Prediction-market cents are converted to implied probability. Every cell carries a source and timestamp.

DEMO· 9:42 AM CT
MarketDraftKingsFanDuelNovigKalshiPolymarket
Bears Spread
Open -2.5 · -110
-3.5
-108
52% impl.
-3.5
-110
52% impl.
-3
-104
51% impl.
——
Bears Moneyline
Open — · -150
-175
64% impl.
-180
64% impl.
-168
63% impl.
-172
63% impl.
-144
59% impl.
Game Total
Open +46 · -110
+44.5
-105
51% impl.
+44.5
-110
52% impl.
+44
-102
50% impl.
——
250+ Passing Yards
Open +247.5 · -108
+257.5
-112
53% impl.
+259.5
-115
53% impl.
+258.5
-108
52% impl.
——
60+ Receiving Yards
Open +57.5 · -110
+59.5
-118
54% impl.
+60.5
-112
53% impl.
———

Odds last updated 9:42 AM CT · DEMO dataset · adapters ready for DraftKings, FanDuel, Novig, Kalshi and Polymarket

Bears betting record

2026 splits

Straight Up
3-2
ATS
4-1
Over/Under
2-3
Home ATS
2-1
Road ATS
2-0
As Favorite
2-1
As Underdog
2-0
Division
1-1
Primetime
1-0

Season in progress · DEMO dataset

Prop ladder

Caleb Williams · Passing yards

How often each threshold has been cleared. Read the sample size next to every rung.

200+9/1090%
225+8/1080%
250+7/1070%
275+5/1050%
300+3/1030%

Range: Last 10 · DEMO dataset · thresholds graded against closing lines

Hibernating

Bears markets that have gone ice cold

Hibernating

Bears 1Q Over

0-4 last four
Season 2-8Sample: 10
Hibernating

Rome Odunze Anytime TD

0-5 last five
Season 2-8Sample: 10
Hibernating

Bears First Drive Score

0-3 last three
Season 3-7Sample: 10
For the Sickos

Season-long and unusual Bears markets

Only markets that exist in connected prediction-market data appear here.

Kalshi

Bears 10+ regular season wins

34%
Implied probability · DEMO
Polymarket

Bears make the playoffs

48%
Implied probability · DEMO
Kalshi

Bears win NFC North

27%
Implied probability · DEMO
Polymarket

Caleb Williams top-5 MVP finish

19%
Implied probability · DEMO
The Receipts

Every signal graded, misses included

Only signals timestamped and saved before kickoff are graded. Historical calls are never rewritten after results are known.

BESTBears -3.5
Sep 21, 2026 HIT
BETTERCaleb 250+ Pass
Sep 21, 2026 HIT
GOODRome 60+ Receiving
Sep 21, 2026 MISS
BETTERTotal Over 44.5
Sep 14, 2026 HIT
GOODBears 1Q Over
Sep 14, 2026 MISS
GOODSwift 65+ Rushing
Sep 7, 2026 HIT
Tier performance · last 30 days
GOOD
1-2
BETTER
2-0
BEST
1-0

Units, ROI and closing-line value populate once graded signals are stored with entry prices. Nothing here is hidden or retroactively edited.

Trend Explorer

Filterable Bears trend database

No trend is ever shown without its sample size.

Open explorer
Home favorite · spread -1 to -6.5 · since 2022
18-10-164.3%Sample: 29
Outdoor · wind 15+ mph · since 2021
12-763.2%Sample: 19
After a win · division opponent · since 2020
9-1145%Sample: 20
1:00 PM CT kickoff · road · since 2022
14-13-151.9%Sample: 28
The Den

Build your own Bears watchlist

Save players, props, markets, trends and games. The Den shows exactly how each one has moved since you saved it, and My Card tracks hypothetical units, ROI and closing-line value — no real-money wagering.

Open the Den